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Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20

Brazil Brazil

Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Logo

Independencia Futebol Clube U20

4 - 1
FT
Sao Francisco U20 Logo

Sao Francisco U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 in this Acreano U20 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
28%
Draws
50%
Sao Francisco U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Francisco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube U20 have won more games recently than Sao Francisco U20.
  • Model gives Sao Francisco U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Independencia Futebol Clube U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independencia Futebol Clube U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Sao Francisco U20
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 4.38 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
4:1
Jul 4, 2026 Acreano U20
Sao Francisco U20 vs Independencia Futebol Clube U20
3:3
Jun 27, 2026 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
1:0
May 2, 2025 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 22 / 100
Sao Francisco U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Sao Francisco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Independencia Futebol Clube U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Sao Francisco U20 conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 VS Sao Francisco U20
4.38 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Santa Cruz AC U20
1 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
14 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
0 : 0
Santa Cruz AC U20
09 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
4 : 1
Sao Francisco U20
04 Jul
Sao Francisco U20
3 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
27 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
1 : 0
Sao Francisco U20
Page 1 of 6

Sao Francisco U20

(Away)
09 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
4 : 1
Sao Francisco U20
04 Jul
Sao Francisco U20
3 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
27 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
1 : 0
Sao Francisco U20
20 Jun
Sao Francisco U20
15 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC U20
11 Jun
Assermurb U20
1 : 1
Sao Francisco U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz AC U203
Galvez U202
Independencia Futebol Clube U207
Sao Francisco U204
Final
Santa Cruz AC U201
Independencia Futebol Clube U202