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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Asaf

AI Match Summary

Sao Francisco FC (AC) in this Acreano matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Francisco FC (AC).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Francisco FC (AC) average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Independencia Futebol Clube's 0.88.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independencia Futebol Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
5:0
Apr 25, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:1
Apr 30, 2023 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:2
Mar 29, 2022 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Asaf
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Independencia Futebol Clube has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1