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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Acreano 2011 game between Independencia Futebol Clube and Senador Guiomard finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senador Guiomard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Independencia Futebol Clube
30%
Draws
23%
Senador Guiomard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independencia Futebol Clube come out ahead of Senador Guiomard on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Independencia Futebol Clube taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Senador Guiomard
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 85 / 100
Senador Guiomard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Senador Guiomard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independencia Futebol Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independencia Futebol Clube's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Senador Guiomard has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Senador Guiomard
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

Senador Guiomard

(Away)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus do Acre 14 10 3 1 37:14 33
2 Acreano 14 11 0 3 35:14 33
3 Rio Branco AC 14 9 1 4 33:19 28
4 Placido de Castro 14 6 1 7 23:15 19
5 Nauas EC 14 4 4 6 18:26 16
6 Senador Guiomard 14 4 3 7 16:31 15
7 Alto Acre 14 3 3 8 13:25 12
8 Independencia Futebol Clube 14 1 1 12 13:44 4
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2011 (Play Offs)