Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Independente SE

1 - 1

Riachao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Independente SE

30%

Draws

12%

Riachao

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Independente SE lately — more wins on the board than Riachao.
Independente SE are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Independente SE Clean Sheet 20%

Riachao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente SE	Riachao
Matches Played	22	14
Wins	5	3
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.09	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.95	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Independente SE vs Riachao

1:1

Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2

Riachao vs Independente SE

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SE 42 / 100

Riachao 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente SE Riachao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riachao has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Independente SE stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Riachao registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SE VS Riachao

0.75 Goals Scored 0.33

2 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 67%

63% Over 2.5 67%

25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SE

(Home)

01 Nov

Independente SE

4 : 2

Caninde

25 Oct

Independente SE

1 : 1

America de Pedrinhas

18 Oct

Atletico Gloriense

7 : 0

Independente SE

15 Oct

Independente SE

0 : 3

Frei Paulistano

10 Oct

Atletico Central

1 : 1

Independente SE

Page 1 of 5

Riachao

(Away)

11 Oct

AD Boquinhense

3 : 0

Riachao

05 Oct

Riachao

0 : 3

Estanciano EC

02 Oct

CS Maruinense

1 : 0

Riachao

28 Sept

Riachao

2 : 2

Botafogo ASF

21 Sept

Amadense

3 : 0

Riachao

Page 1 of 3