Sport Picks
Independente SP vs Catanduvense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paulista B 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ferreira F.
14'
14'
Hiago
17'
17'
da Silva M.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Independente SP and Catanduvense finished 17-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independente SP come out ahead of Catanduvense on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Independente SP taking it.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Independente SP have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SP | Catanduvense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 0.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Catanduvense
17:0
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
0:4
Apr 5, 2017 Paulista A3
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
3:2
Feb 21, 2015 Paulista A2
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independente SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Hiago
4 Goals Assists Leader da Silva M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Catanduvense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente SP 85 / 100
Catanduvense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente SP Catanduvense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catanduvense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 7.75 goals when they meet.
Catanduvense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Independente SP's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Independente SP VS Catanduvense
3.88 Goals Scored 0.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 8
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente SP
(Home) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
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16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
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Catanduvense
(Away) 20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
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20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
09 May
Matonense
3 : 1 Catanduvense
02 May
Mogi Mirim
2 : 1 Catanduvense
19 Apr
Santacruzense
6 : 0 Catanduvense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
