Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Independente SP

5 - 0

Guaruja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Independente SP and Guaruja finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Independente SP

15%

Draws

Guaruja

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Guaruja haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Independente SP's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%

Guaruja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente SP	Guaruja
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	4
Draws	2	5
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	2.4	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.93	2.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs Guaruja

5:0

Aug 6, 2011 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Independente SP

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 85 / 100

Guaruja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente SP Guaruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guaruja conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Guaruja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Independente SP scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS -

2.13 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SP

(Home)

16 Aug

Independente SP

4 : 1

America SP

09 Aug

America SP

2 : 0

Independente SP

02 Aug

Independente SP

2 : 0

Flamengo SP

25 Jul

Flamengo SP

1 : 0

Independente SP

19 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 1

Paulinense

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Guaruja

(Away)

08 Jul

Elosport

3 : 0

Guaruja

30 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

AA Itarare

23 Jun

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Guaruja

16 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

Jabaquara

10 Jun

Maua FC

3 : 0

Guaruja

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