Sport Picks

Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Paulista A4 2021

Independente SP

2 - 1

Mogi Mirim

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Independente SP and Mogi Mirim finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Independente SP

15%

Draws

42%

Mogi Mirim

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Independente SP come out ahead of Mogi Mirim on wins alone.
43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%

Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente SP	Mogi Mirim
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	22	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	10	18
Goals Scored	2.2	0.73
Goals Conceded	1	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.73	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paulista B

Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim

4:1

Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B

Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP

0:1

Jun 18, 2023 Paulista A4

Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP

1:1

May 14, 2023 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim

0:2

Sep 22, 2021 Paulista A4

Mogi Mirim vs Independente SP

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 31 / 100

Mogi Mirim 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente SP Mogi Mirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente SP's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Mogi Mirim has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Independente SP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS Mogi Mirim

3.88 Goals Scored 1.86

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.57

88% Over 1.5 71%

38% Over 2.5 71%

38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SP

(Home)

16 Aug

Independente SP

4 : 1

America SP

09 Aug

America SP

2 : 0

Independente SP

02 Aug

Independente SP

2 : 0

Flamengo SP

25 Jul

Flamengo SP

1 : 0

Independente SP

19 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 1

Paulinense

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Mogi Mirim

(Away)

20 Jun

Matonense

2 : 1

Mogi Mirim

13 Jun

Mogi Mirim

1 : 0

Santacruzense

07 Jun

Catanduvense

0 : 6

Mogi Mirim

30 May

Independente SP

4 : 1

Mogi Mirim

23 May

Mogi Mirim

3 : 1

Sao Carlos

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