Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Cambuhy L.
(Penalty)
66'
66'
Pinheiro M.
80'
80'
Eduardo Jacone
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Independente SP and Santacruzense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santacruzense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independente SP come out ahead of Santacruzense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Independente SP's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Independente SP have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SP | Santacruzense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 35 |
| Wins | 25 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.51 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Santacruzense
0:1
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Independente SP
2:5
Mar 22, 2014 Paulista A3
Independente SP vs Santacruzense
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente SP 85 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente SP Santacruzense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Independente SP found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (40 games).
Santacruzense has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Recent resilience: Independente SP stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independente SP VS Santacruzense
3.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente SP
(Home) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
Page 1 of 8
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
Page 1 of 4
Santacruzense
(Away) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
