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Independente SP vs Sao Carlos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Kenzo
62'
Iran
62'
Iran

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Independente SP and Sao Carlos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independente SP
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Carlos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Carlos haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independente SP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SP Sao Carlos
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 4.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Independente SP
2:0
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
5:1
May 16, 2025 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Independente SP
3:0
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.27
Avg xA / game 2.13

Sao Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 95 / 100
Sao Carlos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SP Sao Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Independente SP's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Sao Carlos let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Independente SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS Sao Carlos
4.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260