Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Jordan Kaique
90'
90'
Silva A.
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Independente and Tuna Luso finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tuna Luso come out ahead of Independente on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Independente's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Independente Clean Sheet 20%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente | Tuna Luso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2025 Paraense
Independente vs Tuna Luso
1:1
Feb 20, 2022 Paraense
Independente vs Tuna Luso
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 Paraense
Independente vs Tuna Luso
0:0
Mar 6, 2021 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Independente
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independente Compare
Top Goalscorer Jordan Kaique
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Tuna Luso Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente 85 / 100
Tuna Luso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente Tuna Luso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independente scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Tuna Luso conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Independente stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independente VS Tuna Luso
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente
(Home) 07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0 Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0 Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0 Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2 Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1 Independente
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0 Itupiranga
30 May
Independente
3 : 0 Uniao Paraense
25 Apr
Independente
2 : 1 Izabelense
02 Mar
Independente
1 : 1 Capitao Poco
08 Feb
Independente
0 : 1 Cameta
Page 1 of 3
Tuna Luso
(Away) 27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2 Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
25 Apr
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
