Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente del Valle U20 vs Guarani U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2022 Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sagardia F.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Sagardia F.
74' Event
Valencia A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Independiente del Valle U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Independiente del Valle U20
15%
Draws
59%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente del Valle U20 come out ahead of Guarani U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Independiente del Valle U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Independiente del Valle U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Independiente del Valle U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 13 5
Wins 8 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.31 1.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.39 1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2022 Copa Libertadores U20
Independiente del Valle U20 vs Guarani U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagardia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.2

Guarani U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle U20 36 / 100
Guarani U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani U20 conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Independiente del Valle U20 scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Independiente del Valle U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle U20 VS Guarani U20
3.38 Goals Scored 1.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle U20

(Home)
09 Mar
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle U20
06 Mar
Independiente del Valle U20
0 : 0
Blooming U20
03 Mar
Independiente del Valle U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
16 Jul
Boca Juniors U20
2 : 0
Independiente del Valle U20
13 Jul
Independiente del Valle U20
1 : 0
Cerro Porteno U20
Page 1 of 3

Guarani U20

(Away)
20 Feb
Guarani U20
3 : 2
Caracas U20
17 Feb
Independiente del Valle U20
3 : 1
Guarani U20
13 Feb
Guarani U20
4 : 1
U. De Concepcion U20
10 Feb
Guarani U20
0 : 1
Orense U20
07 Feb
Newells Old Boys U20
0 : 1
Guarani U20

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Independiente del Valle U20 3
Guarani U20 1
Penarol U20 2
Caracas U20 1
Final
Independiente del Valle U20 1
Penarol U20 2
Guarani U20 3
Caracas U20 2