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Independiente del Valle U20 vs Penarol U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2022 Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Sun, Feb 20, 2022
1 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Mendez D.
90' Event
Delgado H.
1' Event
Ferreira M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Penarol U20 in this Copa Libertadores U20 2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Independiente del Valle U20
15%
Draws
59%
Penarol U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penarol U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle U20 lately — more wins on the board than Penarol U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Independiente del Valle U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penarol U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Independiente del Valle U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Penarol U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle U20 Penarol U20
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 8 7
Draws 1 1
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.31 2
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Copa Libertadores U20
Independiente del Valle U20 vs Penarol U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Penarol U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle U20 31 / 100
Penarol U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle U20 Penarol U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penarol U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

Independiente del Valle U20 scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Independiente del Valle U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle U20 VS Penarol U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle U20

(Home)
09 Mar
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle U20
06 Mar
Independiente del Valle U20
0 : 0
Blooming U20
03 Mar
Independiente del Valle U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
16 Jul
Boca Juniors U20
2 : 0
Independiente del Valle U20
13 Jul
Independiente del Valle U20
1 : 0
Cerro Porteno U20
Page 1 of 3

Penarol U20

(Away)
16 Jul
Penarol U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
13 Jul
Penarol U20
0 : 1
Boca Juniors U20
07 Jul
O'Higgins U20
1 : 2
Penarol U20
04 Jul
Penarol U20
4 : 1
Alianza Lima U20
01 Jul
Penarol U20
5 : 1
Caracas U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Independiente del Valle U20 3
Guarani U20 1
Penarol U20 2
Caracas U20 1
Final
Independiente del Valle U20 1
Penarol U20 2
Guarani U20 3
Caracas U20 2