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Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Independiente del Valle Logo

Independiente del Valle

0 - 2
FT
Flamengo RJ Logo

Flamengo RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gonzalez C. In: Reasco D.
Out: Gonzalez C.
50'
Pulgar E.
57'
Carabajal M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Independiente del Valle
20%
Draws
45%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Independiente del Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 13%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 22 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.52 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
1:1
Sep 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Mar 1, 2023 Recopa Sudamericana
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
1:1
Feb 22, 2023 Recopa Sudamericana
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
Oct 1, 2020 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente del Valle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle 22 / 100
Flamengo RJ 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Independiente del Valle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo RJ let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle VS Flamengo RJ
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle

(Home)
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -