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Independiente FBC vs Atletico Tembetary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente FBC host Atletico Tembetary in the Division Intermedia. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Independiente FBC at 1.46 goals for, 1.25 against; Atletico Tembetary at 1.52 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Atletico Tembetary slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring Atletico Tembetary. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Independiente FBC
15%
Draws
36%
Atletico Tembetary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Tembetary lately — more wins on the board than Independiente FBC.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Independiente FBC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Tembetary have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Tembetary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Atletico Tembetary
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Division Intermedia
Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Atletico Tembetary
2:5
Apr 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 49 / 100
Atletico Tembetary 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Atletico Tembetary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente FBC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Atletico Tembetary has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Independiente FBC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Atletico Tembetary
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente FBC

(Home)
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Tembetary

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Tembetary
3 : 2
Tacuary
28 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 1
Paraguari AC
24 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 0
Sportivo Iteno
21 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
Atletico Tembetary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
2 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 27 9 14 4 33:25 41
6 Sportivo Carapegua 27 11 6 10 32:39 39
7 Paraguari AC 27 11 5 11 36:35 38
8 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 27 4 12 11 30:43 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)