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Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santani

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Dietze S.
68' Event
Samaniego A.
74'
Florentin F.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Independiente FBC and Deportivo Santani finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Independiente FBC
11%
Draws
80%
Deportivo Santani
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportivo Santani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente FBC haven't matched Deportivo Santani's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Santani's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Deportivo Santani
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santani
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santani
1:1
May 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Independiente FBC
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Independiente FBC
1:0
May 20, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santani
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dietze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Santani Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaniego A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 11 / 100
Deportivo Santani 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Deportivo Santani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente FBC scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Deportivo Santani has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Independiente FBC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Deportivo Santani
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente FBC

(Home)
18 Jul
Paraguari AC
3 : 2
Independiente FBC
13 Jul
Independiente FBC
2 : 2
Tacuary
07 Jul
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 2
Independiente FBC
30 Jun
Independiente FBC
1 : 2
Benjamin Aceval
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Independiente FBC
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Deportivo Santani

(Away)
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
11 Jul
3 de Noviembre
0 : 4
Deportivo Santani
05 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 1
General Caballero JLM
01 Jul
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Deportivo Santani
04 Jun
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0
Resistencia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)