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Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Zarate D.
90' Event
Dietze S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Independiente FBC
40%
Draws
29%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guairena FC have won more games recently than Independiente FBC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente FBC Guairena FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC
4:2
May 3, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC
2:1
Apr 8, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarate D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guairena FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente FBC 42 / 100
Guairena FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente FBC Guairena FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente FBC found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Guairena FC has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Independiente FBC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente FBC VS Guairena FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Atletico Tembetary1463523:2021
7Deportivo Capiata1456321:1821
8Guairena FC1463516:1721
9Independiente FBC1455421:1920
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1427519:2313
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247