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Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Cuero Palacio J. R.
70' Event
Izquiedo L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Independiente Juniors and 22 de Julio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Independiente Juniors
30%
Draws
12%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente Juniors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Independiente Juniors a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Independiente Juniors have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors 22 de Julio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.24 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio
2:0
May 16, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Apr 22, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero Palacio J. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Izquiedo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 95 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 22 de Julio conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Independiente Juniors found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Independiente Juniors stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS 22 de Julio
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
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22 de Julio

(Away)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
27 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)