Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Independiente Juniors

2 - 3

Atletico Porteno

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Chillambo J.

27'

Chillambo J.

Own Goal

62'

Delgado P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Independiente Juniors

22%

Draws

18%

Atletico Porteno

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Independiente Juniors lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Porteno.
Model gives Independiente Juniors a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independiente Juniors	Atletico Porteno
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	13	10
Draws	10	4
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.88	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2021 Serie B

Independiente Juniors vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Aug 4, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Jun 21, 2021 Serie B

Independiente Juniors vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

May 14, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:4

Nov 14, 2020 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Chillambo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mina S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 68 / 100

Atletico Porteno 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independiente Juniors Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Porteno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Independiente Juniors scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Independiente Juniors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS -

1.88 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37