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Independiente Recreo vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

Fancesa in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Independiente Recreo
15%
Draws
85%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fancesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente Recreo haven't matched Fancesa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fancesa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Independiente Recreo Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Recreo Fancesa
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Independiente Recreo
6:0
Jun 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente Recreo vs Fancesa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Recreo 10 / 100
Fancesa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Recreo Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Fancesa let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Fancesa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Independiente Recreo's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Recreo VS Fancesa
0.6 Goals Scored 2.25
3.2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Recreo

(Home)
15 Jul
Fancesa
6 : 0
Independiente Recreo
12 Jul
Independiente Recreo
2 : 3
Atletico Sucre
08 Jul
Nacional Sucre
4 : 1
Independiente Recreo
02 Jul
Independiente Recreo
0 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
18 Jun
Independiente Recreo
0 : 2
Fancesa
Page 1 of 2

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario Beni 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 San Lorenzo del Beni 6 2 3 1 6:8 9
3 Alianza Beni 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
4 Los Almendros 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fancesa 8 5 3 0 19:4 18
2 Nacional Sucre 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Atletico Sucre 8 3 2 3 17:15 11
5 Independiente Recreo 8 0 0 8 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 5 2 1 17:5 17
2 Pasion Celeste 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 Real Mizque 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
4 Enrique Happ 8 2 4 2 12:7 10
5 Israel University 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 8 5 3 0 24:7 18
2 Academia del Balompie 8 3 3 2 24:9 12
3 Hiska Nacional 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
4 Chaco Petrolero 8 3 3 2 15:14 12
5 Huayna Potosi Palcoco 8 0 0 8 7:42 -2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Sur-Car 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
3 Real Oruro 8 3 3 2 20:9 12
4 Em Huanuni 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
5 CM Poopo 8 1 0 7 4:36 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Pando 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Real Mapajo 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Stormers SL 6 3 2 1 10:2 11
3 Rosario Central 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Huracan Tupiza 6 0 1 5 0:19 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Torre Fuerte 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
3 24 de Septiembre 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
4 River 66 8 1 2 5 9:22 5
5 Universidad Crucena 8 1 2 5 6:20 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
2 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 Atletico Bermejo 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Ciclon 8 1 4 3 4:8 7
5 Garcia Agreda 8 0 4 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams