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Independiente vs Everton

South America South America

Serie Rio de la Plata Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Alfaro J.
15'
Lomonaco K.
18' Event
Medina A.

AI Match Summary

Independiente in this Serie Rio de la Plata matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Independiente
20%
Draws
38%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente have won more games recently than Everton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Everton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Everton
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
Independiente vs Everton
5:3
Jan 12, 2023 Torneos De Verano
Independiente vs Everton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzantti W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabral L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfaro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 42 / 100
Everton 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Everton conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Independiente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Everton
0.71 Goals Scored 1.75
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
29% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1
Platense
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0
Independiente
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys
26 Jul
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 2
Independiente
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Independiente
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Everton

(Away)
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
01 Aug
Everton
3 : 4
Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1
Everton
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
04 Jul
San Luis
2 : 2
Everton
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