Sport Picks
Independiente vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Bolivia
Nacional B 2018 
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2018 game between Independiente and Ferrocarril Palmeiras finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Ferrocarril Palmeiras on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Nacional B 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 20%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Ferrocarril Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 20 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
4:1
Sep 22, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Independiente
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 31 / 100
Ferrocarril Palmeiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Ferrocarril Palmeiras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 75% of their last 40 outings.
Ferrocarril Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.
Ferrocarril Palmeiras lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 8
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1 Guabira
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2 Blooming
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Ferrocarril Palmeiras
(Away) 10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1 Wilstermann Cooperativas
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1 America de Villazon
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
25 Oct
Juventud Unida Pocitos
1 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
21 Oct
Independiente
4 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Em Huanuni | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:22 | 19 |
| 4 | Fatic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 24:24 | 14 |
| 5 | Sur-Car | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:22 | 14 |
| 6 | Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:28 | 11 |
| 7 | Enrique Happ | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:30 | 10 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gatty Ribeiro De Pado | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Mariscal Sucre | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:14 | 19 |
| 3 | Torre Fuerte | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Universidad Crucena | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:23 | 10 |
| 5 | CD Kivon | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 6 | Libertad Gran Mamore | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:35 | 5 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Industrial Aviles | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 29:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Independiente | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35:19 | 29 |
| 3 | Atletico Bermejo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Petrolero de Yacuiba | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Palmeiras | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:26 | 19 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:37 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Pocitos | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 24:37 | 9 |
| 8 | Deportivo Aleman | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28:39 | 8 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
