Sport Picks
Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda 
Match Events
12'
12'
Cingolani L.
38'
38'
Godoy L.
42'
42'
Fernandez E.
Assist: Lencioni F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Independiente and Gimnasia Mendoza finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia Mendoza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Gimnasia Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza
0:3
Feb 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Independiente
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Argentina
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Independiente
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Gimnasia Mendoza Compare
Top Goalscorer Lencioni F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 41 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Gimnasia Mendoza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Gimnasia Mendoza let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Independiente remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Gimnasia Mendoza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
(Away) 05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 10 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
