Sport Picks
Independiente vs Guabira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Division Profesional Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre 
Match Events
20'
20'
Pedro
39'
39'
Alvarez G.
46'
46'
Sub
Torres S. In: Cardozo R.
Out: Torres S.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Guabira at 1.48 per game, Independiente at 1.42.
- Independiente are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Independiente Clean Sheet 14%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Guabira
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Independiente
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente vs Guabira
1:0
Dec 2, 2025 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Guabira
3:1
Aug 14, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Independiente
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cristaldo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Guabira Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 66 / 100
Guabira 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Guabira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guabira let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Independiente's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Independiente stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Guabira
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1 Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3 Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 4
Guabira
(Away) 08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 The Strongest
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1 Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1 Guabira
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0 Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0 Guabira
31 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5 : 1 Guabira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21:40 | 20 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:39 | 18 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:39 | 16 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
