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Independiente vs Guabira

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Thu, Aug 27, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente host Guabira in the Division Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Guabira have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Independiente have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.44. Past meetings favor Independiente slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring Guabira. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Independiente
20%
Draws
40%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guabira at 1.72 per game, Independiente at 1.44.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Independiente Clean Sheet 13%
Guabira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Guabira
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Independiente
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente vs Guabira
1:0
Dec 2, 2025 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Guabira
3:1
Aug 14, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Independiente
3:1
Jul 1, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Independiente
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 31 / 100
Guabira 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Independiente stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Independiente's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Guabira
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2
Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2
Independiente
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1
Aurora
01 Aug
Real Oruro
0 : 3
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Guabira

(Away)
18 Aug
Guabira
2 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
15 Aug
Guabira
3 : 1
The Strongest
07 Aug
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Guabira
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
31 Jul
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 15 10 4 1 32:9 34
2 Bolivar 15 9 3 3 36:16 30
3 The Strongest 15 7 6 2 22:17 27
4 Real Potosi 15 6 6 3 22:11 24
5 Guabira 15 7 3 5 26:27 24
6 Oriente Petrolero 15 7 2 6 25:20 23
7 Aurora 15 5 7 3 23:22 22
8 Independiente 15 6 4 5 22:21 22
9 Blooming 15 5 6 4 20:16 21
10 Nacional Potosi 15 5 3 7 22:21 18
11 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 15 5 2 8 18:28 17
12 Real Oruro 15 5 2 8 27:38 17
13 Academia del Balompie 15 5 1 9 24:31 16
14 GV San Jose 15 2 6 7 14:22 12
15 Tomayapo 15 3 3 9 11:31 12
16 Club Universitario de Vinto 15 3 2 10 17:31 11
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)