Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente vs Ind. Rivadavia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Arias S.
62'
Bonifacio E.
71'
Sub
Montiel S. In: Abaldo M.
Out: Montiel S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Independiente and Ind. Rivadavia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Independiente
20%
Draws
42%
Ind. Rivadavia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ind. Rivadavia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Independiente Clean Sheet 19%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Independiente
3:2
May 11, 2025 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Independiente
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Independiente
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 32 / 100
Ind. Rivadavia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Rivadavia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ind. Rivadavia has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Independiente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Ind. Rivadavia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1
Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
31 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
3 : 1
Racing Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)