Sport Picks
Independiente vs Plaza Amador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Panama
LPF Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez, La Chorrera 
Match Events
6'
6'
Gonzalez J.
40'
40'
Rose E.
45'
45'
Tejada L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Plaza Amador
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Plaza Amador have won more games recently than Independiente.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Plaza Amador taking it.
- Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Plaza Amador |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 21 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Independiente
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Independiente
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Tejada L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Plaza Amador Compare
Top Goalscorer Rose E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 14 / 100
Plaza Amador 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Plaza Amador
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plaza Amador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Plaza Amador conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Solid form: Independiente remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Plaza Amador
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 04 Oct
Independiente
1 : 1 Arabe Unido
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0 Independiente
20 Sept
Independiente
4 : 3 Sporting San Miguelito
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2 Plaza Amador
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Independiente
1 : 1 Arabe Unido
20 Sept
Independiente
4 : 3 Sporting San Miguelito
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2 Plaza Amador
22 Aug
Independiente
3 : 0 Union Cocle
11 Aug
Independiente
2 : 2 Union Deportivo Universitario
Page 1 of 3
Plaza Amador
(Away) 04 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 1 Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2 Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1 Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2 Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1 Herrera
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2 Plaza Amador
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2 Plaza Amador
30 Aug
San Francisco
4 : 1 Plaza Amador
27 Aug
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Plaza Amador
16 Aug
Alianza
2 : 4 Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:16 | 24 |
| 2 | Arabe Unido | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Tauro | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Alianza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 |
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 2 | Veraguas | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 11 |
| 4 | Union Deportivo Universitario | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 5 | Herrera | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:24 | 8 |
| 6 | Union Cocle | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:21 | 5 |
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
