Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente vs Tomayapo

Bolivia Bolivia

Torneo Amistoso de Verano Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Independiente Logo

Independiente

5 - 2
FT
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Willie
42' Event
Rivas R.
45' Event
Mercado A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Independiente
15%
Draws
31%
Tomayapo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Tomayapo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Independiente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 20%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Tomayapo
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:6
Sep 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Willie
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Corulo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 31 / 100
Tomayapo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Tomayapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Independiente found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomayapo let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Independiente has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Tomayapo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1
Guabira
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0
Independiente
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2
Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

Tomayapo

(Away)
26 Aug
Real Potosi
0 : 1
Tomayapo
23 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Always Ready
14 Aug
Club Universitario de Vinto
0 : 1
Tomayapo
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Real Oruro
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guabira 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3
Club Universitario de Vinto 3
Aurora 4
Real Oruro 3
GV San Jose 4
Academia del Balompie 2
Always Ready 7
The Strongest 2
Bolivar 3
Real Potosi 2
Nacional Potosi 0
Oriente Petrolero 3
Blooming 4
Tomayapo 4
Independiente 6
Quarter-finals
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2
Aurora 3
GV San Jose 2
Always Ready 7
Bolivar 6
Real Potosi 2
Blooming 10
Independiente 1
Semi-finals
Aurora 2
Always Ready 5
Bolivar 8
Blooming 2
Final
Always Ready 4
Bolivar 5