Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Leones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Pena F.
24' Event
Palacios J.
46'
Sub
Pena F. In: Diaz J.
Out: Pena F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Independiente Valle del Cauca and Leones finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente Valle del Cauca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Independiente Valle del Cauca
30%
Draws
12%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente Valle del Cauca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Independiente Valle del Cauca a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 20%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Valle del Cauca Leones
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Leones
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Valle del Cauca 67 / 100
Leones 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Valle del Cauca Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente Valle del Cauca scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Independiente Valle del Cauca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Valle del Cauca VS Leones
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Valle del Cauca

(Home)
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1
Inter Palmira
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Leones

(Away)
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)