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Stadium Background

India vs Bangladesh

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Salt Lake Stadium, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Rahman Jony M.
22'
Sub
Barman T. In: Mia R.
Out: Barman T.
62'
Sub
Emon S. In: Fahim M.
Out: Emon S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
India
20%
Draws
51%
Bangladesh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bangladesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bangladesh have won more games recently than India.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Bangladesh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
India Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India Bangladesh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.82 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Bangladesh vs India
1:0
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
India vs Bangladesh
0:0
Oct 4, 2021 SAFF Championship
Bangladesh vs India
1:1
Jun 7, 2021 World Championship
Bangladesh vs India
0:2
Oct 15, 2019 World Championship
India vs Bangladesh
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India 42 / 100
Bangladesh 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India Bangladesh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bangladesh conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

India scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: India remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

India VS Bangladesh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

India

(Home)
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh

(Away)
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
26 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 0
Bangladesh
18 Nov
Bangladesh
1 : 0
India
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)