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India vs Iran

Asia Asia

CAFA Nations Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Kuruniyan A.
46'
Sub
Naderi M. In: Jalali A.
Out: Naderi M.
46'
Sub
Ahmadi M. In: Alipour A.
Out: Ahmadi M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
India
35%
Draws
45%
Iran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of India on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iran's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Iran arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iran here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
India Clean Sheet 15%
Iran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India Iran
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.82 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
India vs Iran
0:3
Mar 24, 2016 World Championship
Iran vs India
4:0
Sep 8, 2015 World Championship
India vs Iran
0:3
Dec 7, 1984 Asian Cup
India vs Iran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseinzadeh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alipour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India 15 / 100
Iran 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

India's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Iran let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: India remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

India VS Iran
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

India

(Home)
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
Page 1 of 6

Iran

(Away)
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Oman 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Turkmenistan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Kyrgyzstan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 India 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Tajikistan 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Afghanistan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)