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Indian Air Force (New Delhi) vs Bengaluru United

India India

Durand Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Manzi P.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Singh Y.
41' Event
Kumar V.

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru United in this Durand Cup 2021 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
6%
Draws
90%
Bengaluru United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bengaluru United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indian Air Force (New Delhi) haven't matched Bengaluru United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bengaluru United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Bengaluru United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bengaluru United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Clean Sheet 10%
Bengaluru United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Bengaluru United
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2021 Durand Cup
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) vs Bengaluru United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumar V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bengaluru United Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manzi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 10 / 100
Bengaluru United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Bengaluru United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Bengaluru United has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Indian Air Force (New Delhi) scored in 50% of their last 18 outings.

Solid form: Indian Air Force (New Delhi) remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) VS Bengaluru United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indian Air Force (New Delhi)

(Home)
10 Aug
East Bengal
6 : 1
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
03 Aug
Namdhari
4 : 2
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
27 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
3 : 3
South United
08 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
02 Aug
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
0 : 2
Downtown Heroes
Page 1 of 4

Bengaluru United

(Away)
15 May
MYJ-GMSC
1 : 1
Bengaluru United
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
03 May
Bengaluru United
3 : 1
Delhi FC
27 Apr
Sudeva Delhi
1 : 0
Bengaluru United
21 Apr
Karbi Anglong
0 : 1
Bengaluru United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bengaluru United33007:29
2Mohammedan32019:46
3Indian Air Force (New Delhi)20023:80
4CRPF20021:60
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Goa33009:19
2Army Green32014:36
3Jamshedpur31022:83
4Sudeva Delhi30031:40
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bengaluru FC32109:57
2Delhi FC31114:44
3Indian Navy31025:73
4Kerala Blasters31021:33
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gokulam321010:47
2Army Red32108:47
3Hyderabad31026:33
4Assam Rifles30033:160
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)