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Indian Air Force (New Delhi) vs Downtown Heroes

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) play Downtown Heroes in the Durand Cup 2024. Downtown Heroes are favorites here. Recently, Indian Air Force (New Delhi) averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.89 conceded. Downtown Heroes averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Indian Air Force (New Delhi) won 0, Downtown Heroes won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Indian Air Force (New Delhi) and 2.63 for Downtown Heroes. This points to a Downtown Heroes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
16%
Draws
69%
Downtown Heroes
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Downtown Heroes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indian Air Force (New Delhi) picked up more points recently compared to Downtown Heroes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Clean Sheet 10%
Downtown Heroes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Downtown Heroes
Matches Played 18 25
Wins 1 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.72 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.89 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2024 Durand Cup
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) vs Downtown Heroes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Downtown Heroes Compare

Top Goalscorer Snorton Perwood D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 16 / 100
Downtown Heroes 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Downtown Heroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Downtown Heroes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Downtown Heroes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) attacking → ← attacking Downtown Heroes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) scored in 50% of their last 18 games.

Downtown Heroes let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Downtown Heroes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mohun Bagan22007:07
2East Bengal22006:27
3Downtown Heroes31023:43
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30031:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bengaluru FC330010:29
2Mohammedan31114:44
3Inter Kashi31113:54
4Indian Navy30031:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala Blasters321016:17
2Minerva Punjab32107:17
3CISF Protectors31022:103
4Mumbai City30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Army Red33007:29
2Jamshedpur32017:46
3Chennaiyin FC31023:43
4Assam Rifles30031:80
5Bangladesh Army00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North East United330011:19
2Bodoland FC32016:56
3Odisha FC31026:73
4Border Security Force30033:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lajong32104:17
2FC Goa32107:57
3Nepal Army31023:33
4Rangdajied United30033:80
5Hyderabad00000:00