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Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gholy Z.
23' Event
Tatu A.
28'
Apriansyah R.

AI Match Summary

Australia U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Indonesia U16
15%
Draws
54%
Australia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Australia U16 have won more games recently than Indonesia U16.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Australia U16 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Indonesia U16 Clean Sheet 19%
Australia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U16 Australia U16
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 6 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 3.67 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16
3:5
Oct 1, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16
2:3
Sep 22, 2011 AFC Championship U16
Australia U16 vs Indonesia U16
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gholy Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holong J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Australia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatu A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Didulica A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U16 31 / 100
Australia U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U16 Australia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Indonesia U16 scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Australia U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Indonesia U16 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U16 VS Australia U16
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U16

(Home)
21 Sept
Indonesia U16
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U16
18 Sept
Switzerland U16
2 : 0
Indonesia U16
03 Jul
Indonesia U16
5 : 0
Vietnam U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
22 Sept
Indonesia U16
0 : 0
China U16
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Australia U16

(Away)
01 Jun
China U16
5 : 2
Australia U16
30 May
Australia U16
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia U16
28 May
Vietnam U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
03 Jul
Thailand U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
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