Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia U19 vs Philippines U19

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Abdulmanan A.
21' Event
Gwijangge I.
28' Event
Arel K.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship U19 2024 game between Indonesia U19 and Philippines U19 finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Indonesia U19
6%
Draws
4%
Philippines U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Indonesia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship U19 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U19 Philippines U19
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 3.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Philippines U19
6:0
Jul 8, 2022 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
1:5
Aug 6, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Philippines U19
7:1
Jul 5, 2018 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
1:4
Oct 10, 2013 AFC Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulmanan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gwijangge I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Philippines U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U19 85 / 100
Philippines U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U19 Philippines U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia U19 scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

Solid form: Indonesia U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U19 VS Philippines U19
3.5 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 8

Philippines U19

(Away)
06 Jun
Cambodia U19
3 : 0
Philippines U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
23 Jul
Cambodia U19
1 : 0
Philippines U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
17 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 0
Philippines U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U19330014:29
2Cambodia U1931023:53
3Timor-Leste U1931025:103
4Philippines U1931022:73
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U19330013:29
2Vietnam U1931117:84
3Myanmar U1930212:32
4Laos U1930122:111
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malaysia U19321017:17
2Thailand U1932109:27
3Singapore U1931023:73
4Brunei U1930030:190
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams