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Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rachman M. F. F.
50' Event
Mouzinho
(Penalty)
59'
Pinto N.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U19 game between Indonesia U19 and Timor-Leste U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Indonesia U19
15%
Draws
0%
Timor-Leste U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Indonesia U19 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U19 Timor-Leste U19
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 ASEAN Championship U19
Timor-Leste U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
6:2
Nov 6, 2019 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
3:1
Aug 8, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
4:0
Nov 2, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rachman M. F. F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maulana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U19 85 / 100
Timor-Leste U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U19 Timor-Leste U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Timor-Leste U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Indonesia U19's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Timor-Leste U19 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U19 VS Timor-Leste U19
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 8

Timor-Leste U19

(Away)
07 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
1 : 3
Myanmar U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
23 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 2
Timor-Leste U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U19 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
2 Kuwait U19 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
3 Palestine U19 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Oman U19 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
5 Pakistan U19 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U19 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Yemen U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Turkmenistan U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Sri Lanka U19 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Lebanon U19 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Syria U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Maldives U19 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U19 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 United Arab Emirates U19 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Nepal U19 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U19 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Jordan U19 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bhutan U19 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Bangladesh U19 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Uzbekistan U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Afghanistan U19 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 India U19 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U19 4 4 0 0 27:4 12
2 Cambodia U19 4 3 0 1 18:6 9
3 Thailand U19 4 2 0 2 31:3 6
4 Brunei U19 4 1 0 3 4:26 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U19 4 0 0 4 3:44 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 3 2 1 0 13:2 7
2 Laos U19 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
3 Chinese Taipei U19 3 1 0 2 9:7 3
4 Macau U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U19 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 China U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Myanmar U19 3 1 0 2 8:5 3
4 Singapore U19 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U19 3 2 1 0 19:0 7
2 Vietnam U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 Mongolia U19 3 1 0 2 4:15 3
4 Guam U19 3 0 0 3 4:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 North Korea U19 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Hong Kong U19 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
4 Timor-Leste U19 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams