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Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Raven J.
24' Event
Bianco R.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Raven J.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship U19 2024 game between Indonesia U19 and Timor-Leste U19 finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Indonesia U19
15%
Draws
0%
Timor-Leste U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indonesia U19 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U19 on wins alone.
  • Indonesia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship U19 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U19 Timor-Leste U19
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 ASEAN Championship U19
Timor-Leste U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
6:2
Nov 6, 2019 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
3:1
Aug 8, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
4:0
Nov 2, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dennis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhito A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U19 85 / 100
Timor-Leste U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U19 Timor-Leste U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Difficult form: Timor-Leste U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Indonesia U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Timor-Leste U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U19 VS Timor-Leste U19
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 8

Timor-Leste U19

(Away)
07 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
1 : 3
Myanmar U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
23 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 2
Timor-Leste U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U19 3 3 0 0 14:2 9
2 Cambodia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Timor-Leste U19 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Philippines U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Vietnam U19 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
3 Myanmar U19 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Laos U19 3 0 1 2 2:11 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U19 3 2 1 0 17:1 7
2 Thailand U19 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Singapore U19 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Brunei U19 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams