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Stadium Background

Indonesia U20 vs Maldives U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Warman A.
55' Event
Dennis F.
57' Event
Firmansyah T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Indonesia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Indonesia U20
35%
Draws
32%
Maldives U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indonesia U20 come out ahead of Maldives U20 on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia U20 taking it.
  • Indonesia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Maldives U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U20 Maldives U20
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Indonesia U20 vs Maldives U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Warman A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dennis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Maldives U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U20 77 / 100
Maldives U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U20 Maldives U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Indonesia U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Indonesia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U20 VS Maldives U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Laos U20
0 : 3
Indonesia U20
31 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
Malaysia U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

Maldives U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Myanmar U20
6 : 0
Maldives U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Maldives U20
2 : 0
Brunei U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Bhutan U20
0 : 0
Maldives U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams