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Indonesia U20 vs New Zealand U20

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Friendly International 2023
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AI Match Summary

Indonesia U20 play New Zealand U20 in the Friendly International 2023. New Zealand U20 are favorites here. Recently, Indonesia U20 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. New Zealand U20 averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Indonesia U20 won 0, New Zealand U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Indonesia U20 and 1.50 for New Zealand U20. This points to a New Zealand U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Indonesia U20
15%
Draws
59%
New Zealand U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U20 picked up more points recently compared to New Zealand U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U20 New Zealand U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Friendly International
Indonesia U20 vs New Zealand U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferarri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

New Zealand U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Colloty O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herdman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U20 27 / 100
New Zealand U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U20 New Zealand U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick New Zealand U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indonesia U20 attacking → ← attacking New Zealand U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

New Zealand U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Indonesia U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.20