Sport Picks

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Indonesia U22 vs Thailand U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Tue, May 16, 2023
5 - 2
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sananta R.
45' Event
Sananta R.
65' Event
Yodsangwal A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Indonesia U22 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Indonesia U22
15%
Draws
36%
Thailand U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indonesia U22 come out ahead of Thailand U22 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Indonesia U22 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U22, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Thailand U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U22 Thailand U22
Matches Played 18 22
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.17 2.09
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U22 vs Thailand U22
5:2
Feb 26, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Indonesia U22 vs Thailand U22
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sananta R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jauhari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Thailand U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yodsangwal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burapha Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U22 41 / 100
Thailand U22 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U22 Thailand U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U22's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Indonesia U22 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Thailand U22 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U22 VS Thailand U22
3 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U22

(Home)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

Thailand U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Thailand U22
1 : 0
Malaysia U22
11 Dec
Thailand U22
3 : 0
Singapore U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Indonesia U22 3
Vietnam U22 2
Thailand U22 3
Myanmar U22 0
Final
Indonesia U22 5
Thailand U22 2
Vietnam U22 3
Myanmar U22 1