Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia U23 vs Mali U23

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kone S.
38' Event
Zijlstra M.
53' Event
Struick R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Indonesia U23
30%
Draws
61%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Mali U23 have won more games recently than Indonesia U23.
  • Mali U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Indonesia U23 vs Mali U23
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Indonesia U23 vs Mali U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zijlstra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Struick R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U23 10 / 100
Mali U23 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Mali U23 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Indonesia U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U23 VS Mali U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 6

Mali U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6