Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia U23 vs Mongolia U23

World World

Friendly International 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Adsit G.
25' Event
Haay O.
37' Event
Munkh-Erdene T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2017 game between Indonesia U23 and Mongolia U23 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Indonesia U23
20%
Draws
0%
Mongolia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indonesia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indonesia U23 come out ahead of Mongolia U23 on wins alone.
  • Indonesia U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U23 Mongolia U23
Matches Played 40 23
Wins 22 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 2.1 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.93 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2017 Friendly International
Indonesia U23 vs Mongolia U23
3:2
Jul 21, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adsit G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haay O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.87
Avg xA / game 1.86

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U23 95 / 100
Mongolia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U23 Mongolia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mongolia U23 conceded in 96% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Mongolia U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Indonesia U23's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U23 VS Mongolia U23
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 5.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 8

Mongolia U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5