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Indonesia vs Lebanon

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Friendly International 2025 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
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Match Events

26'
Sharafeddine H.
61'
Sub
Zijlstra M. In: Ferdinan M.
Out: Zijlstra M.
61'
Sub
Lilipaly S. In: Wibowo A.
Out: Lilipaly S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Indonesia and Lebanon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Indonesia
20%
Draws
28%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lebanon have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Indonesia are scoring more at 1.76.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Lebanon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 Friendly International
Indonesia vs Lebanon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 59 / 100
Lebanon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Indonesia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Lebanon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lebanon has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Lebanon
2 Goals Scored 2.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2
Thailand
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Oct
Kyrgyzstan
3 : 1
Lebanon
01 Oct
Maldives
0 : 6
Lebanon
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
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