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Indonesia vs Libya

World World

Friendly International 2024 Mardan Sports Complex, Antalya
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Match Events

2'
Baggott E.
6' Event
Sayuri Y.
Assist: Jenner I.
9' Event
Elsharimi O.
Assist: Al Tubal M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Indonesia and Libya finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Libya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Indonesia
35%
Draws
24%
Libya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Libya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Libya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Libya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia vs Libya
1:2
Jan 2, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia vs Libya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayuri Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

Libya Compare

Top Goalscorer Elsharimi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kraouaa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 95 / 100
Libya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Indonesia scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Libya has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Indonesia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Libya
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
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Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
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