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Indy Eleven vs Rayo OKC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NASL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ring B.
12' Event
Danso F.
41' Event
Mares D.

AI Match Summary

The NASL 2016 game between Indy Eleven and Rayo OKC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indy Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Indy Eleven
15%
Draws
64%
Rayo OKC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo OKC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Indy Eleven carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rayo OKC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NASL 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Indy Eleven have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 22%
Rayo OKC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Rayo OKC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Aug 13, 2016 NASL
Indy Eleven vs Rayo OKC
2:1
May 1, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Indy Eleven
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Mares D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falvey C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Rayo OKC Compare

Top Goalscorer Danso F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 24 / 100
Rayo OKC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Rayo OKC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo OKC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Rayo OKC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Indy Eleven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indy Eleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
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Rayo OKC

(Away)
05 Nov
New York Cosmos
2 : 1
Rayo OKC
30 Oct
Rayo OKC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
22 Oct
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
0 : 2
Rayo OKC
16 Oct
Rayo OKC
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 1
Rayo OKC
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