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Ingas vs El Kanemi Warriors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup 2023
Wed, May 10, 2023
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ingas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ingas
15%
Draws
60%
El Kanemi Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Kanemi Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • El Kanemi Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • El Kanemi Warriors are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • El Kanemi Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ingas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ingas Clean Sheet 17%
El Kanemi Warriors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingas El Kanemi Warriors
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2023 Federation Cup
Ingas vs El Kanemi Warriors
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingas 15 / 100
El Kanemi Warriors 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingas El Kanemi Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Kanemi Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingas found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

Defensive concern: El Kanemi Warriors conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ingas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingas VS El Kanemi Warriors
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingas

(Home)
01 Jun
Ingas
1 : 2
Basira
24 May
Plateau United
2 : 1
Ingas
10 May
Ingas
2 : 1
El Kanemi Warriors

El Kanemi Warriors

(Away)
13 Sept
UDIB
1 : 0
El Kanemi Warriors
06 Sept
El Kanemi Warriors
3 : 0
UDIB
11 Jul
El Kanemi Warriors
1 : 0
Ikorodu City
17 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
3 : 1
Wikki Tourists
11 Jun
Sokoto United
0 : 1
El Kanemi Warriors
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Heartland FC 2
Essien Ayi 1
Ahudiya 0
Bendel 1
Standard 0
Sunshine Stars 2
EFCC FC 2
Akwa United 1
Warri Wolves 1
Shooting 0
Mighty Jets 0
Gombe 2
Osun United 1
Bendel Feeders 2
Cynosure 0
Lobi 2
Plateau United 3
Enyimba International 2
Ingas 2
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Nasarawa United 3
DMD 2
Ikorodu City 1
Kwara 3
Ebedei 4
Igbajo 0
Rangers International 2
Kano Pillars 0
Ebunuja 0
Doma United 4
Edel FC 1
Mailantarki Care 0
1/8-finals
Heartland FC 0
Bendel 1
Sunshine Stars 3
EFCC FC 2
Warri Wolves 1
Gombe 0
Bendel Feeders 1
Lobi 3
Plateau United 2
Ingas 1
Nasarawa United 0
Kwara 1
Ebedei 1
Rangers International 3
Doma United 2
Edel FC 1
Quarter-finals
Bendel 1
Sunshine Stars 0
Warri Wolves 2
Lobi 1
Plateau United 1
Kwara 0
Rangers International 1
Doma United 0
Semi-finals
Bendel 1
Warri Wolves 0
Plateau United 0
Rangers International 1
Final
Bendel 1
Rangers International 0