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Stadium Background

Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Wiebe D.
4'
Decker E.
6' Event
Scepanik L.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga game between Ingolstadt and Alemannia Aachen finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alemannia Aachen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
59%
Alemannia Aachen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alemannia Aachen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alemannia Aachen come out ahead of Ingolstadt on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 16%
Alemannia Aachen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Alemannia Aachen
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 3. Liga
Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 3. Liga
Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alemannia Aachen Compare

Top Goalscorer Scepanik L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schroers M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 31 / 100
Alemannia Aachen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Alemannia Aachen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alemannia Aachen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Alemannia Aachen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Ingolstadt stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Alemannia Aachen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

Alemannia Aachen

(Away)
01 Oct
Eupen
3 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
19 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
1 : 0
Dusseldorf
15 Sept
Wurzburger Kickers
1 : 0
Alemannia Aachen
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
8 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)