Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ingolstadt vs Aue

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Carlsen F.
Assist: Sturm Y.
13' Event
Christensen G.
Assist: Rosenlocher L.
18' Event
Guttau J.
Assist: Bar M.

AI Match Summary

Aue in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
45%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ingolstadt lately — more wins on the board than Aue.
  • Model gives Aue a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Aue
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 3.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
3:5
Dec 7, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs Ingolstadt
2:2
May 4, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs Ingolstadt
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
1:0
Dec 19, 2023 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlsen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christensen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Guttau J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Weinhauer E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 22 / 100
Aue 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aue has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ingolstadt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Aue
1.63 Goals Scored 3.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
Ingolstadt
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0
LASK Linz
04 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0
Vfb Eichstatt
Page 1 of 6

Aue

(Away)
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
25 Jul
Aue
3 : 3
Altglienicke
19 Jul
Aue
2 : 4
Schalke
15 Jul
Zeitz
0 : 6
Aue
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)