Sport Picks
Ingolstadt vs Aue - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt 
Match Events
7'
7'
Carlsen F.
Assist: Sturm Y.
13'
13'
Christensen G.
Assist: Rosenlocher L.
18'
18'
Guttau J.
Assist: Bar M.
AI Match Summary
Aue in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aue.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aue lately — more wins on the board than Ingolstadt.
- Model gives Aue a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 15%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
3:5
Dec 7, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs Ingolstadt
2:2
May 4, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs Ingolstadt
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
1:0
Dec 19, 2023 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Aue
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ingolstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlsen F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Christensen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aue Compare
Top Goalscorer Guttau J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Weinhauer E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ingolstadt 19 / 100
Aue 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ingolstadt Aue
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aue Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Aue has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Ingolstadt went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ingolstadt VS Aue
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ingolstadt
(Home) 02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1 Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0 Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2 Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1 Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3 Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2 Hoffenheim II
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3 Alemannia Aachen
08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2 Wurzburger Kickers
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0 Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 LASK Linz
Page 1 of 3
Aue
(Away) 27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2 Chemie Leipzig
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2 Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2 Aue
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2 Aue
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2 Aue
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Aue
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2 Aue
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
