Sport Picks
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt 
Match Events
2'
2'
Sturm Y.
Assist: Carlsen F.
30'
30'
Costly M.
Assist: Gul E.
46'
46'
Sub
Muteba NTumba N. X. In: Bierschenk L.
Out: Muteba NTumba N. X.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Ingolstadt and Mannheim finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ingolstadt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mannheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mannheim's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Ingolstadt have produced (1.69).
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Mannheim taking it.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mannheim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
2:1
May 5, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ingolstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Sturm Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Costly M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Mannheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Boyd T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ingolstadt 22 / 100
Mannheim 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ingolstadt Mannheim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ingolstadt scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Mannheim let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ingolstadt remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ingolstadt VS Mannheim
1.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ingolstadt
(Home) 08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2 Wurzburger Kickers
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 Ingolstadt
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0 Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 LASK Linz
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2 Wurzburger Kickers
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0 Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 LASK Linz
04 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0 Vfb Eichstatt
16 May
Ingolstadt
5 : 1 Mannheim
Page 1 of 4
Mannheim
(Away) 07 Aug
Mannheim
2 : 1 Dusseldorf
01 Aug
Mannheim
0 : 1 Eintracht Frankfurt
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1 Triglav
23 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1 FC Liefering
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2 Mannheim
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2 Mannheim
15 Jul
Eintracht Frankfurt II
2 : 0 Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2 Mannheim
10 Jul
VfR Mannheim
0 : 2 Mannheim
04 Jul
SV Moosbrunn
0 : 14 Mannheim
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
