Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ingolstadt vs Palermo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Drakulic O.

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ingolstadt
30%
Draws
37%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Palermo have won more games recently than Ingolstadt.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Palermo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Palermo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Drakulic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 14 / 100
Palermo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ingolstadt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Palermo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Palermo
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
Ingolstadt
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0
LASK Linz
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Palermo

(Away)
11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
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