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Ingolstadt vs Palermo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Drakulic O.

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
69%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Palermo have won more games recently than Ingolstadt.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Palermo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.39 2
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Palermo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Drakulic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 10 / 100
Palermo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Palermo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ingolstadt remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Palermo
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
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Palermo

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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