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Stadium Background

Inhulets vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026
Inhulets Logo

Inhulets

4 - 1
FT
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Logo

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Profatylo Y.
29'
Sad V.
43' Event
Faraseyenko V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inhulets in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Inhulets
20%
Draws
40%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Inhulets have won more games recently than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Inhulets have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Inhulets have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 11%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inhulets FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Inhulets vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
4:1
Aug 31, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Inhulets
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraseyenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gadzhuk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Profatylo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhulets 30 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inhulets FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Inhulets found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Inhulets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inhulets VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inhulets

(Home)
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2
Inhulets
22 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 4
Veres Rivne
Page 1 of 6

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Away)
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3