Sport Picks

Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup

Inhulets

4 - 1

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Our Tip

Match Events

Profatylo Y.

29'

Sad V.

43'

Faraseyenko V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inhulets in this Ukrainian Cup tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Inhulets

17%

Draws

13%

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Inhulets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Inhulets have won more games recently than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
Inhulets are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Inhulets have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Inhulets have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Inhulets Clean Sheet 68%

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Inhulets	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	4
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1	0.29
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Persha Liga

Inhulets vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

0:3

Sep 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup

Inhulets vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

4:1

Aug 31, 2025 Persha Liga

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Inhulets

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraseyenko V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gadzhuk I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Profatylo Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.26

Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhulets 77 / 100

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Inhulets FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Inhulets found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inhulets VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

1 Goals Scored 0.29

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29

50% Over 1.5 57%

38% Over 2.5 29%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inhulets

(Home)

10 Jul

Ch. Odesa

1 : 0

Inhulets

08 Jul

Oleksandriya

2 : 1

Inhulets

27 Jun

Kryvbas

1 : 2

Inhulets

01 Jun

Inhulets

1 : 3

Livyi Bereg

23 May

FC Chernihiv

1 : 2

Inhulets

Page 1 of 6

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Away)

30 May

Vorskla Poltava

1 : 1

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

23 May

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

0 : 0

Fenix Mariupol

17 May

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

1 : 2

Nyva Ternopil

09 May

Metalist Kharkiv

3 : 0

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

02 May

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

0 : 2

Bukovyna

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Denhoff Denykhivka3

Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2

Dinaz Vyshgorod0

Ahrobiznes Volochysk3

Kolos Polonne1

Naftovyk Dolyna0

FC Kharkiv2

Obolon0

Lokomotyv Kyiv3

Kolos Kovalivka2

Korosten0

Veres Rivne4

Nyva Vinnytsya3

UCSA0

Hirnyk-Sport1

Trostyanets0

FC Chernihiv1

Atlet Kiev0

Kulikiv0

Kryvbas3

FC Vilkhivtsi1

Olympia Savyntsi2

Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0

Lisne4

Epitsentr1

Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2

Ch. Odesa2

Zorya1

Fazenda0

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1

FC Uzhhorod1

Fenix Mariupol2

Metalist Kharkiv2

Mayak Sarny0

LNZ Cherkasy1

Probiy Horodenka0

Kormil Yavoriv1

Rukh Lviv2

TBD-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

Lozova0

Bukovyna3

Penuel Kryvyi Rih0

Karpaty Lviv8

Real Pharma Odesa0

Nyva Ternopil3

Iron1

SC Poltava5

Oleksandriya-

TBD-

Dynamo Kyiv-

Polissya Stavky3

Rebel Kyiv0

TBD-

Shakhtar-

Livyi Bereg1

Kudrivka0

Victoria1

Vorskla Poltava0

Karbon Cherkasy1

Inhulets2

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1

Skala 19110

1/16-finals

Denhoff Denykhivka0

Ahrobiznes Volochysk2

Kolos Polonne1

FC Kharkiv4

Lokomotyv Kyiv1

Veres Rivne0

Nyva Vinnytsya7

Hirnyk-Sport0

FC Chernihiv3

Kryvbas0

Olympia Savyntsi1

Lisne2

Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2

Ch. Odesa1

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1

Fenix Mariupol2

Metalist Kharkiv0

LNZ Cherkasy2

Rukh Lviv3

Polissya Zhytomyr0

Bukovyna1

Karpaty Lviv0

Nyva Ternopil3

SC Poltava0

Oleksandriya1

Dynamo Kyiv2

Polissya Stavky0

Shakhtar1

Livyi Bereg0

Victoria1

Inhulets4

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1

1/8-finals

Ahrobiznes Volochysk3

FC Kharkiv4

Lokomotyv Kyiv1

Nyva Vinnytsya0

FC Chernihiv2

Lisne1

Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1

Fenix Mariupol2

LNZ Cherkasy1

Rukh Lviv0

Bukovyna2

Nyva Ternopil1

Dynamo Kyiv2

Shakhtar1

Victoria0

Inhulets1

Quarter-finals

FC Kharkiv3

Lokomotyv Kyiv0

FC Chernihiv1

Fenix Mariupol0

LNZ Cherkasy0

Bukovyna1

Dynamo Kyiv2

Inhulets0

Semi-finals

FC Kharkiv0

FC Chernihiv1

Bukovyna0

Dynamo Kyiv3

Final

FC Chernihiv1

Dynamo Kyiv3