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Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Pezhynskyi M.
61'
Sub
Ursolov S. In: Ryazantsev Y.
Out: Ursolov S.
61'
Sub
Yevtushenko O. In: Rozhko V.
Out: Yevtushenko O.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Inhulets and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Ternopil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Inhulets
30%
Draws
42%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Inhulets's 0.86 goals per match outpaces what Nyva Ternopil have produced (0.83).
  • Win probability leans Nyva Ternopil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 22%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inhulets Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Manastyrnyi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Pezhynskyi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhulets 21 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inhulets Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Inhulets's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Inhulets went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inhulets VS Nyva Ternopil
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inhulets

(Home)
17 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
4 : 1
Inhulets
10 Oct
Inhulets
0 : 1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
3 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
4 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
5 Fenix Mariupol 12 6 3 3 18:13 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)